Prediction results for 2009, not good
This post takes a look back at my 5 ballsy social media predictions for 2009 post, written on December 20, 2008.
Needless to say, there will not be a predictions post written for 2010. I am clearly not Desmond Hume (come on, LOST nerds).
- Twitter will be bought. Nope. They did, however, get a huge boost from Oprah. Oh yeah, they also negotiated a few search deals and started *gasp* making some money. (0 for 1)
- Plurk will disappear. Ahh, Plurk – the little microblogging service that should have quit a long time ago. Instead, they persist. I logged into the site for the first time in a year only to find that it looks exactly the same. And by the same, I mean creepy. (0 for 2)
- Louis Gray will surpass Robert Scoble in blog traffic. I thought this one was a slam dunk. Robert thought it could happen. Where did it all go wrong? The two were separated by as few as 16,110 uniques in May 2009. But in June 2009, Building 43 was launched and Robert blogged a bit more often. When FriendFeed sold to Facebook in August, it was game over. Scoble returned to his blog fortress and made me wrong yet again. (0 for 3)
- Pandora will all but kill Last.FM. Bzzzzt, incorrect. Last.FM lives on due to the fact that, well, it works outside the United States. Pandora does not. In my own life, Slacker Radio has taken the lead – I suggest you give it a try. And if you haven’t Groovesharked yet, please do it right now. (0 for 4)
- The labels will introduce a mixtape service. Can you say “oh-for-five”? I could have cheated right here and counted Apple’s “compile a bunch of songs in a mix and buy them for a friend” feature as a mixtape service but the labels had little to do with that. (0 for 5, in case you forgot)
Do you have the results of your own predictions? I’d love to see them. You could not have done worse than me. ;)